Balneario Sao Jose Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s take a squiz at what’s on the cards for our part of the coast over the next couple of weeks. To be honest, it’s not going to be a non-stop party. There’s a real dead spot at the start, and we’re hanging around for a few days before anything worth paddling out for shows up.

The Long Wait

The first few days are pretty rough. We’re looking at a couple of days with nothing on offer at all to start with. The swell is weak and all over the place, and the wind is adding to the mess. You’re better off finding something else to do for the first part of the week.

Monday the 17th – The First Real Window

Finally, on Monday the 17th, we get a bit of a break. It’s still not big, but it’s clean. We’ve got a 5ft ESE swell with a 8-second period. The key here is the wind – it’s dead glassy. That’s a massive positive, as it’ll be smooth out there. It’s not going to be firing, but it’s the first proper chance to get a few. The combined energy is moderate at 409. It’s a beginner-friendly size, so a good one to get the cobwebs out.

The Mid-Week Lull

After that little tease, we settle back into a lull. Tuesday the 18th has some tiny waves in the morning, with a 4ft swell and glassy conditions, but it’s pretty weak. By Wednesday and Thursday, we’re scraping the bottom of the barrel with sub-3ft waves. It’s a real flat spell. The energy just drains away, dropping to 61 by Thursday morning. You can see the lack of power in the water.

A Brief Pulse, Then More Waiting

There’s a hint of something on Friday the 21st, but the wind swings onshore and it turns to junk. The weekend looks messy too. It’s not looking like a classic.

The Standout – Saturday the 29th

Now, let’s talk about the one that’s got my attention. It’s a bit of a long-range call, so don’t book the time off just yet, but Saturday the 29th is our standout. The morning shows a solid 7ft E swell, with a period of 8 seconds. Now, the bigger size of 7ft is pushing it for beginners, but for the crew that’s comfortable, this is the most interesting day on the board. The energy jumps back up to a strong 821. The wind is forecast to be light and glassy. That’s the recipe for some proper, clean surf. With the swell direction from the E and the break at Balneario Sao Jose (Ilhabela) exposed to SE, it should be hitting the bank nicely. This is the one to keep an eye on as it gets closer – the long-range forecasts can change, but this has the makings of the best session of the window.

Into the Second Week

After that, we trail off again. Sunday the 30th has some small, clean waves in the morning, nothing to get too excited about. The water temp is sitting around 69°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

So, there you have it. A quiet start, a small window early on, and then clear skies for that promising pulse on the 29th. Stay tuned.

Rusty

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