Balneario Sao Jose Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Balneario Sao Jose over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you, this stretch is gonna be a tough one. It's a beach and pier setup exposed to the swell, and for the first week or so, we're really not looking at much to get excited about.

We kick off on Wednesday the 19th with tiny 2ft waves from the ESE at a short 8-second period. Combined energy is a weak 61 – barely a pulse. Morning's glassy with a NNW breeze, so that's one positive, but the overall quality is very ordinary. Don't get your hopes up.

The whole weekend and into next week looks poor. Thursday the 20th is flat with 2ft waves, and even though the wind is calm, there's just nothing there. Friday brings a bit of a bump from the SSW, up to 5ft by the afternoon, but that's a short-period windswell (7 seconds) with onshore wind, making for poor conditions. The combined energy spikes to 448, but it's all messy.

Saturday the 22nd is a little better, with 5ft to 5ft of S swell, period up to 10 seconds, and combined energy at 450. But we've got onshore wind from the SE and SSE, so it's marginal at best. The same story continues Sunday and Monday: bigger swell comes in but with cross-onshore wind and 12 to 14-second period, energy jumps to 609 then a whopping 1704 – that's strong energy. But the wind just kills it.

Then, we get a window. Tuesday morning the 25th is the standout. We're looking at a solid 5ft of S swell with a nice 13-second period – that's proper groundswell. The combined energy is a strong 974. The wind is from the NE, which is cross-offshore here, and the forecast says "expect very good surf conditions". This is your best bet for the entire forecast. We could see some peaky, lined-up waves.

Wednesday morning the 26th also looks promising, with 6ft from the east, an 8-second period, and glassy conditions from a light NE breeze. Combined energy is 790. That's another session to circle on the calendar. Clean, glassy surf.

After that, things quickly go pear-shaped again. Through the end of August and into September, we're back to onshore winds, short-period junk, and very ordinary to poor surf. The first few days of September show a bit of size again – 6ft on the 2nd – but it's from the SE with short period and cross-onshore wind, so it'll be a messy, choppy, blown-out mess.

The main advice? Don't waste your time for the first week. Clean your board, do your stretches, and pencil in Tuesday the 25th and maybe the 26th. That's your only real chance for a good one. The rest is for kite surfers if the wind's right, not for us paddle surfers.

Rusty.

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