Balneario Sao Jose Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right. Ol’ Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got for the next couple of weeks.

To be honest, the outlook starts off pretty flat and quiet. There’s a long stretch of very small, weak surf with iffy winds, so don’t bother paddling out for the first few days. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t show up until Saturday morning, 1st August.

Now, that Saturday morning at Balneario Sao Jose is about as clean as it gets. Glassy conditions, not a whisper of wind, and the swell bumps up to 5 ft from the east. Sure, the period is short at 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and close together, but with zero wind, it’s gonna be fun and forgiving. The combined energy is moderate at 380 – enough to push you around. Water temp is sitting at 68°, which is pretty much normal for the time of year, so no drama there. Just keep in mind this spot can get crowded often, so expect company.

After that, the rest of the first week and into the second week is a mix of tiny waves and ordinary conditions. A few mornings like Sunday 2nd and Monday 3rd offer clean, glassy conditions, but the swell is only 2 ft to 3 ft – fun for a log or a longboard, but nothing to get excited about. The combined energy drops to 125 or even lower. The swell direction is mostly from the east or southeast, with periods around 7 to 9 seconds, so nothing special.

The real standout, and I mean the only one that’s got my heart pumping, is towards the very end of the forecast. On Friday 14th August, the swell jumps up to 7 ft from the south, and by the afternoon it’s 8 ft with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy hits 1664 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is cross-onshore from the ESE at 9 mph, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but there’s heaps of push. Saturday 15th August sees the swell peak at 8 ft from the south, with a long period of 16 seconds by the afternoon. That’s proper groundswell. The combined energy skyrockets to 3929 – very strong. But, and it’s a big but, the wind is cross-onshore and moderate at 9 to 12 mph, and the break is a beach/pier setup. With that long period, the waves could be a bit too straight and powerful for the beach, and the wind will put chop on the face. This is really only for experienced surfers – 8 ft is big, especially with that much energy. Beginners should stay well clear. This setup could actually be more appealing for the kite crew than paddle surfers, to be honest.

So, the pick of the whole window is Saturday morning, 1st August – glassy, 5 ft, east swell. It’s the only day that truly ticks all the boxes. The big south swell on the 14th and 15th is a long-range call, so it’s promising but not locked in. If it cleans up, it’ll be a beast, but right now, it’s a bit of a gamble.

Stay frothy.
Rusty.

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