Balneario Sao Jose Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's break down what's coming for Balneario Sao Jose over the next couple of weeks.

The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but we've got some solid pulses coming through, especially if you're willing to wait for the bigger stuff later on. The water is sitting at 70°F which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not even need a wetsuit.

Wednesday the 12th kicks off with a bit of a nothing burger. We've got 6ft swell from the SSE with a 12-second period, but that cross-shore wind from the ENE at 6 mph is putting a bit of a chop on it. Combined energy is moderate (839). Not worth paddling out for.

Thursday morning the 13th is where it gets interesting. The wind drops to dead calm, glassy conditions, and a clean 4ft swell from the S. That's a nice little window for a quiet session. The afternoon picks up to 5ft from the SSE with a long 15-second period, and winds go light offshore from the SE at 3 mph. The energy jumps to 1052 (moderate), so those waves will have some push. This is a good shout for anyone who can sneak out.

Friday the 14th is a write-off with cross-onshore winds and small, messy 4ft swell. Saturday the 15th morning is a gem – glassy conditions again, 6ft from the SSE, 13-second period, energy at 959 (moderate). That's a great morning session. The afternoon gets blown out by a 12 mph easterly, so get in early.

Sunday the 16th morning is another glassy one, with 6ft from the E but a short 8-second period. The energy is moderate (760). It'll be a bit walled-off at the beach, but with zero wind it'll be clean. The afternoon turns to junk.

Monday the 17th is calm and glassy all day, with 5ft and 5ft from the ESE, but the period is short (9 seconds) so the waves won't have much grunt. Energy is moderate (445 and 335). It's surfable, but not exciting.

Then we hit a dry spell. Tuesday the 18th through to Saturday the 22nd is mostly poor, with tiny waves, onshore winds, and rain. The swell drops to under 3ft, energy plummets into the double digits (75 to 256). Nothing worth chasing.

Sunday the 23rd things start to wake up. The morning brings 5ft from the SSE, but it's cross-onshore at 9 mph, so it's messy. The afternoon though, 7ft from the SSE with a 12-second period, energy at 1160 (strong). The wind is lighter from the E at 6 mph, but it's still cross-onshore. It's a bit of a battle, but there's push.

Now, Monday the 24th morning is a standout. Glassy conditions, dead calm, with a clean 5ft groundswell from the S, 11-second period, energy at 625 (moderate). That's a perfect window for a long, clean session. The best of the early part of the week.

But hold onto your board for Tuesday the 25th morning. This is the standout of the whole forecast. Offshore wind from the N at 6 mph, 5ft swell from the S with a very long 15-second period, and energy at 1179 (strong). That's a proper groundswell. The break is a beach/pier setup, so that long period will make the waves a bit more lined up, but it's clean and powerful. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

And then, Wednesday the 26th morning – the swell jumps to 10ft from the S, 13-second period, energy at 4435 (very strong). That's huge. The wind is glassy, but that size is for experts only. This spot is a beach/pier, so at that size it's more of a big-wave show. The afternoon drops to 8ft from the SSE, still glassy, and energy at 2345 (strong) – excellent for experienced surfers, but still a handful.

The 27th Thursday morning winds down to a clean 4ft, glassy, with a nice 11-second period. A good way to finish the run.

So, bottom line: if you want the best clean waves, go for Thursday the 13th morning or Monday the 24th morning. If you want the most power and a bigger swell, Tuesday the 25th morning is a beauty. The big 10ft day on the 26th is a monster – only for the brave.

Rusty.

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