Balneario Sao Jose Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mates, Rusty here. Let's cut the crap and talk about the surf at Balneario Sao Jose.

The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag. We've got some clean, glassy mornings to start, but the afternoons get chopped up. The middle of the week goes totally flat, then a bigger, more powerful swell fills in for the final weekend. Pay attention to that last Saturday, it's got potential.

We start on Sunday the 16th with a clean morning. It's glassy with a 5ft ESE swell, and the energy is moderate at 460. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it'll be a bit soft, but it's rideable. The afternoon gets messier as a light cross-on breeze kicks up, so get your fix early. Monday the 17th is a similar story: a clean 6ft morning, then a weaker 5ft in the afternoon. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell drop off to a small 4ft, and the energy fades to 219. Still clean in the morning, but definitely smaller.

From Wednesday the 19th through Friday the 21st, we run into a flat spell. The swell drops below 3ft, and the energy readings fall under 100 – that’s weak, gutless stuff. There's nothing worth paddling for, and the wind isn't helping. It's a good time to fix that blown-out fin or just take a break.

Saturday the 22nd shows a little life, with around 2ft of swell and a 10-second period, but the energy is weak at 113. It's not inspiring. Then Sunday the 23rd is when the ocean wakes up, but not in a good way. A strong south wind brings rain and a jump in swell to a messy 7ft by the afternoon. The energy is up at 605, but with that wind, it's going to be a complete washing machine. That continues into Monday the 24th, with the biggest energy reading of the run at 836 and a 6ft SSE swell, but it's all onshore junk. This is the kind of day where the beach setup, blown out and messy, is more interesting for the kite surfers than us.

Midweek is a write-off with onshore winds and rain. But then, the ocean starts to calm. On Wednesday the 26th, the wind turns light offshore in the morning and goes glassy in the afternoon. The swell is small, around 3-3ft, but it's clean and has a nice, long 11-second period. The energy is moderate. It's a sign of things to come. Thursday the 27th is also clean and glassy, though the swell is down to around 2ft.

Now, for the good part. Friday the 28th sees a new pulse of swell arrive, reading 5ft with a 9-second period and a big jump in energy to 916. The winds are cross-on, which is a bit of a bummer, but the ocean has some grunt to it. However, the *real* gem is Saturday the 29th. The winds go light and glassy in the morning, and there’s 5ft of swell with a longer 10-second period. The energy is a solid 824, and the conditions are set to be very good. This is the morning to be out there. It's not huge, so it's doable, but it's got the size and the clean surface to make the most of that SE direction. The afternoon will still have waves, but the cross-shore wind will make it trickier.

We finish the run with a smaller Sunday the 30th, around 4ft and energy dropping back to 482. The morning is a bit lumpy, but the afternoon glass comes back and it looks fun if a little smaller. Monday the 31st looks marginal, with the swell down to 3ft and a cross-shore wind.

So, there's the picture. Get out there early this coming Sunday and Monday, sit out the flat spell in the middle, and circle Saturday the 29th on the calendar. That's the one. It's looking promising, but the long-range stuff is always a bit less certain. Until next time, I'm Rusty.

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