Camaron Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our stretch of coast. We’ve got one main spot on the radar for the next couple of weeks—Camaron Beach. It’s a point break, and it’s our only real option in this window, so let’s get into it.

Right now, the water’s sitting at a very warm 89°. That’s about 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is notable. It’s a truly tropical bath out there. The nearest recommendation is a bit of a slow burner, but we’ve got a few windows that’ll get you wet.

The first surfable session isn’t until Friday morning, August 28th. It’s a bit of a late start, but we’ve got a 3 ft SW swell rolling in with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is weak, sitting at 458, so it’s not powerful. The wind is a light cross-onshore, which isn’t ideal, and the report flags it as marginal. The crowd factor is set to “often,” so expect company. It’s a small, clean-ish option for the patient.

Saturday, August 29th is where the week starts to look better. The morning is still a bit average with a cross-on breeze, but that Saturday afternoon is a standout. We’ve got a 4 ft SW swell, period still a solid 16 seconds, but the real magic is the wind. It goes glassy, with a slight air from the NW. That’s the kind of dead calm that turns a point break into a longboarder’s dream. The combined energy is moderate (924), and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the top pick for the first week. The swell is right in the sweet spot for a point break with that long period—it’ll draw lines down the point.

Sunday, August 30th sees a drop in period to 14 seconds, and the wind turns onshore again. The afternoon has a 5 ft swell, but it’s cross-on. Not terrible, but nothing like Saturday.

Monday, August 31st and Tuesday, September 1st are small and weak. Swell drops to 3 ft to 3 ft, period is down to 13 seconds, and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-on. The energy is weak (388 to 425). It’s a quiet stretch.

Wednesday, September 2nd, the swell is even smaller at 2 ft, but the period jumps back to a very long 16 seconds. The energy is still weak (493). The morning is onshore, but the afternoon is a light cross-on breeze. Not a standout, but a long-period groundswell at a point this small can still offer a few fun runners if you’re not picky.

Thursday, September 3rd is a step up. The swell builds to 3 ft in the morning, then 4 ft in the afternoon. The period is a very long 18 seconds—that’s really long. The combined energy climbs to a strong 1098 in the afternoon. The wind is a light cross-on. This is a big, long-period swell hitting the point. At 4 ft with that period, it’ll have some serious push. It’s the second standout of the forecast. The only downside is the cross-on breeze, but it’s light. Crowds will be likely.

Friday, September 4th morning is still 4 ft with a 17-second period, but the wind is onshore. The afternoon turns nasty with a moderate cross-on breeze at 12 mph, making it choppy. Skip it.

Saturday, September 5th and Sunday, September 6th are a mixed bag. Saturday is small (4-4 ft) with a 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on. Sunday morning, September 6th, is another glassy window. The wind is dead calm from the SW, the swell is 4 ft with a 15-second period, and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a solid morning session. The afternoon gets messed up by a cross-on breeze.

From Monday, September 7th, the swell fades. We’re looking at 2 ft to 3 ft for the rest of the run, with periods dropping from 14 seconds down to 13 seconds. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-on. The energy is weak (285 to 628). It’s a long, flat-ish tail end to the forecast. Thursday, September 10th, shows a slight uptick to 3 ft with a 16-second period, but the wind is cross-on. It’s a marginal call.

The standout for the whole forecast is Saturday afternoon, August 29th for the glassy, clean conditions, and Thursday afternoon, September 3rd for the size and power of that long-period swell. Saturday the 29th is the one for perfection. Thursday the 3rd is for the crew who want a bit more push.

The forecast confidence is decent for the first week, but those later dates are a bit more of a promise than a guarantee. Still, that’s the read.

Rusty.

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