Camaron Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, checking on things at Camaron Beach for the next 16 days. It’s going to be a tough read, so let’s get into it.

We’ve got some decent groundswell rolling in for the first few days, but the winds are going to make you work for a good one. The water is sitting at a warm 89°, which is a touch warmer than normal for the season. The real highlight here is shaping up to be Wednesday morning the 29th of July. That’s the session I’d pencil in. We’re looking at an 8 ft swell from the SW with a 16-second period – that’s proper long-period groundswell, full of energy. The combined energy is strong at (3974), and with a light W wind at just 3 mph, the surface is going to be glassy and clean. It’s a big size, so really for the experienced crew, but the conditions should be firing. Just a heads up, with that long period on a point break, the waves can run a bit straight, but when it lines up, there'll be some proper grunt.

Before that, things are pretty average. Friday morning the 24th is a write-off with only a 2 ft wave and t-storms. The afternoon cleans up a bit with a 2 ft wave and a light offshore E wind at 3 mph, but it’s tiny. Expect crowds to be often here, so that small clean window will be packed. Saturday and Sunday see the swell build slowly, but the winds stay cross-onshore, keeping a bump on the surface.

Monday the 27th is when the swell gets going, hitting 6 ft from the SSW, but again the wind is cross-onshore, which ruins the party. The energy is climbing though, hitting (1674) on Monday morning. Tuesday the 28th has a peaky 7 ft swell, but same story with the wind angle.

After that Wednesday morning standout, it’s all downhill. Wednesday afternoon the 29th still has size (8 ft) but a stronger cross-onshore wind makes it choppy. Thursday the 30th the swell drops and a 16 mph cross-onshore makes it look like a kite surfing session, not a paddle session. The energy is falling fast to (1664) in the afternoon. By Friday the 31st, the swell is down to 5 ft and the period is fading, and then from Saturday the 1st of August onwards, forget it. We’re looking at 5 to 6 days of tiny, weak waves with bad cross-shore winds. The energy numbers are down in the double digits (98-204), and the surf quality is shot. The offshore winds on the 4th and 5th of August are a tease, but with only 1 ft to 2 ft of swell, it’s not worth the effort. The window slams shut after Wednesday the 30th.

So, to cut it short: aim for Wednesday morning the 29th of July. That’s your one shot. After that, a long flat spell sets in, but don’t lose hope, forecasts can change.

- Rusty

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