Nanwan Beach (South Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checkin' in with the long-range look for our local zone.

Right off the bat, we're hearing a bit of a mixed bag for the next week or so. The swell is coming, but it's gonna be a fight with the wind and a few storms passing through early on. The water temp is sittin' pretty average for the time of year, no major anomalies to write home about.

Our main focus is Nanwan Beach (South Bay). It's a beach and reef setup, pretty exposed to the swell, and it can get a bit busy often. The optimum direction is from the SE.

We kick things off on Thursday the 13th. There's some swell pushin' 6 feet from the SW with a period of 9 seconds, but the wind is kinda cross-off from the W at 16 mph. The wave energy is moderate (502), but the forecast is talkin' storms and the conditions are just on the edge of being surfable. It's a bit of a wait-and-see spot right now.

The next few days through Friday and Saturday the 14th and 15th are more of the same. The swell sticks around 5 feet to 8 feet, but the wind is a cross-shore mess from the WSW, and the rain is pouring. The wave energy is moderate (going up to 849), but the quality is poor. Not your typical fun waves.

Now, here's the first real standout. Sunday the 16th morning is lookin' promising. We've got a 8-foot swell from the SW, period of 9 seconds, and the wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the W, making it a cross-off and clean. The wave energy is cookin' at 857. The forecast says to expect very good surf conditions. This is the best call of the first week. The afternoon is a bit more average with the turn in the wind.

Monday the 17th morning is another goodie. A 7-foot SW swell, a light breeze from the WNW, cross-off and clean. Wave energy is 656. This is another solid session if you can get out.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Tuesday the 18th all the way through to Sunday the 23rd, the wind is a problem. It's a mix of strong onshores, cross-shore winds, and some storms. The swell is still there, sometimes pushing 8 feet, but the conditions are just not lining up. There's a gap of about 5-6 days with no real recommendations. Kite surfers might get a look in during this stretch with the bigger swell and strong cross-shore winds, but for paddle surfing, it's a no-go.

Looking into the second week, things start to get interesting again. Monday the 24th afternoon shows a 6-foot SW swell, period 10 seconds, with a light NE breeze turning it cross-off. Wave energy is 785. It's a marginal call, but the solid wind direction is a good sign.

Now, the real standout of the whole forecast. Tuesday the 25th is the one to circle on the calendar. Morning and afternoon both have a 6-foot swell from the SW, but the period jumps to 11 seconds, which is a nice groundswell. The wind is light from the WNW at 6 mph, cross-off, clean as a whistle. The wave energy is up there, 1023 in the morning and a thumping 1312 in the afternoon. The forecast is calling for very good surf conditions both sessions. This is your best bet for a long, clean, and fun day.

Wednesday the 26th is still decent, with a 7-foot+ swell and a 11-second period, but the wind picks up a bit from the W to 12 mph, making it cross-off but bumpier. The energy is strong (1186-1614).

Then we get a big warning. Thursday the 27th is a beast. The morning is a no-go with a massive 16-foot swell from the S and onshore wind. The wave energy is off the charts at 7145, but it's all just a massive, messy, dangerous wall. The afternoon is a bit more manageable at 12 feet, but it's still a big swell. The wind is cross-shore, and the forecast says the swell is too big for this break. For experts only, and even then, be very careful.

Friday the 28th looks like the swell drops back to 6 feet, but the wind is messy again, so we're back to a poor outlook.

So, to wrap it up: the first week has a few bright spots on Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th mornings, but the second week is where the real gem is on Tuesday the 25th. That's the one to get excited about, just keep an eye on the forecasts as we get closer.

Rusty out.

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