Nanwan Beach (South Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what we've got on the cards for the coming weeks.

To be brutally honest, the next 16 days are looking like a write-off for a proper paddle session. The conditions are just not cooperating. There's a massive gap of flat, messy, or blown-out days ahead. We've got a couple of tiny windows where the swell shows up, but the wind is a relentless enemy, and the quality is just not there. It's one of those periods where the forecast looks more interesting for a kite surfer than anyone with a paddle, given the strong cross-shore winds and significant swell at times.

The only break on the radar is Nanwan Beach (South Bay). This is a beach and reef setup, fairly exposed to the south-east, but it's inconsistent throughout this entire outlook. The water temperature is sitting at a warm 85.1°, which is about average for the time of year here.

The first potential day is Saturday, July 25th. There's a big pulse of swell coming in, with a 11.5 ft swell from the ESE, but it's a short period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is massive (2090), but the wind is a strong 25 mph cross-shore from the ENE, creating a messy cross-chop. It's a no-go for a safe, clean surf. The afternoon gets a bit better with the wind easing, but the swell is still too big for this break, and the tide/wind combo is still not favorable for a good paddle.

Sunday, July 26th, and Monday, July 27th, are still rough, with strong cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions. The swell drops but the wind remains a problem. The pattern continues through the next week. We see a couple of days with S/SSW swells, but the wind is consistently cross-shore or onshore, keeping the waves choppy and messy. The swell energy is generally moderate (between 300 and 600), but the wind is the spoiler.

The last glimmer of hope is on Thursday, August 6th. The wind swings to the west, becoming a clean cross-offshore at 28 mph. The swell is a solid 9.8 ft from the SSW, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (2129). However, it's still a massive, powerful swell that is only for experts, and the strong wind, while clean, makes it a challenging, high-risk session. The following day, Friday, August 7th, is similar, but the forecast is marginal at best.

So, there you have it. A long, frustrating run of poor conditions. Don't get your hopes up just yet. This is one of those stretches where the ocean just isn't playing ball. Keep your board waxed, though. Forecasts can change.

Read more