Nanwan Beach (South Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up for Nanwan Beach (South Bay) over the next couple of weeks.

The short story is, we’ve got a massive window of nothing much to get excited about. The first week is a write-off for anything worth paddling out for, with strong cross-off winds and messy, blown-out conditions. The real standouts are tucked away in the second week, and they’re worth waiting for.

First up, the early period. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are a total loss. You’re looking at 8ft to 10ft of messy, short-period swell (7 to 9 seconds) being hammered by strong breeze winds from the west. The combined energy is high (639 to 1575), but it’s all just churn. It’s not surfable in any meaningful way.

Monday the 10th is a bit of a tease. The swell hits 12ft from the SW, with a period around 10 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping (up to 2629). The wind is still strong, but the data says the tide and wind are favorable – however, that 12ft is just too big for this break. Only for the experts, and even then, it’s borderline.

From Tuesday the 11th through to Friday the 14th, it’s a slow grind. The swell drops back to the 5ft to 8ft range, but the wind stays fresh or moderate from the west, keeping everything in the “poor” to “marginal” category. The energy drops off, but the quality never arrives.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are the real standout window. Swell holds around 7ft from the SSW, period around 9 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (around 540 to 686). The wind drops right out. Saturday afternoon sees a gentle breeze, and Sunday morning has a light breeze, but the real gem is Sunday afternoon: glassy conditions with a light sea breeze from the SE. That’s the cleanest window of the whole run. The waves will be a bit raw but rideable, and with the water temperature sitting at 85°F, which is about average for this time of year, you’ll be comfortable.

After that, Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are a bit of a mixed bag. Monday stays marginal with some cross-shore, but Tuesday morning looks promising again with glassy conditions and a 5ft swell from the SW. The energy is lower (410), but the clean face will make it fun for a longboard or a fish.

From Wednesday the 19th onwards, it’s a steady decline. The swell drops to 4ft to 5ft, winds turn more cross-off or cross, and the energy is weak. The last few days (Friday the 21st to Sunday the 23rd) are a sloppy, windy mess with fresh breezes and lumpy chop. Not worth your time.

The Verdict: If you’ve got to get wet, hold out for Sunday the 16th afternoon. That’s the one. Glassy, clean, 7ft SSW swell. It’s the best of a pretty average run. The Sunday the 16th afternoon session is the only true standout.
Rusty

Read more