Surf Forecast Surf Report
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Outer Cut surf break

Outer Cut surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Monday 06 Jan 2025 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Outer Cut surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Outer Cut sea temperature is
20.2° C
(Which is 3.5°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Outer Cut this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Outer Cut in the next 12 days are 0.3m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jan 13) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jan 09) at 4PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful10AM (Mon 13th Jan)1ft (0.3m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Outer Cut over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Monday
06
Tuesday
07
Wednesday
08
Thursday
09
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.2
N
0.1
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.2
N
0.3
N
0.3
N
0.3
NNE
0.3
NNE
0.3
NNE
0.3
NNE
0.3
NNE
0.3
N
1.1
NW
0.8
N
1.7
NNW
0.8
N
0.6
N
0.6
N
0.5
N
Period(s) (?)12121313132421212018181717181616151414151717171616151514146578888
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy (?)3333411997665236202018161617235349514947444136923529774454428
Wind
(km/h)
5
N
20
NNE
5
SSE
5
NNW
15
NNE
5
S
10
NE
10
SE
10
SSE
5
N
15
N
5
SE
5
N
15
NNE
0
SE
10
N
15
NNE
5
SSE
5
NW
25
NNE
5
SE
5
N
20
NE
5
SSW
5
NW
15
N
5
SSE
0
N
20
NE
5
NE
5
NNW
15
N
5
S
5
NNW
10
NNE
5
SSE
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glasscrossglassglasscrosscross-
off
crossoffoffglasscross-
on
glasscross-
on
crossglasscross-
on
cross-
on
glassglasscross-
on
offcross-
on
crosscross-
off
glasscross-
on
offglasscrosscross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
glasscrossglass
High Tide
/ height (m)
3:17PM
3.96
3:55AM
3.66
4:11PM
3.81
4:49AM
3.59
5:11PM
3.67
5:53AM
3.51
6:17PM
3.59
7:10AM
3.50
7:26PM
3.58
8:32AM
3.62
8:32PM
3.63
9:36AM
3.83
9:34PM
3.71
10:25AM
4.04
10:28PM
3.80
11:07AM
4.18
11:17PM
3.87
11:44AM
4.24
12:01AM
3.92
12:21PM
4.22
12:41AM
3.94
12:56PM
4.14
1:19AM
3.90
Low Tide
/ height (m)
9:24PM
0.94
9:49AM
1.03
10:21PM
1.05
10:58AM
1.18
11:26PM
1.17
12:17PM
1.24
12:37AM
1.23
1:28PM
1.20
1:45AM
1.23
2:30PM
1.11
2:51AM
1.17
3:27PM
0.99
3:52AM
1.07
4:18PM
0.87
4:46AM
0.97
5:04PM
0.76
5:32AM
0.89
5:46PM
0.70
6:12AM
0.84
6:24PM
0.70
6:47AM
0.83
7:00PM
0.76
Monday
06
Tuesday
07
Wednesday
08
Thursday
09
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Sunrise6:01--6:01--6:03--6:03--6:05--6:05--6:07--6:07--6:09--6:09--6:11--6:13--
Sunset-9:02--9:01--9:01--9:01--9:01--9:01--9:00--9:00--9:00--9:00--9:00--8:59-
clearpart cloudclearclearclearrain showersrain showerslight rainclearclearpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudcloudrain showersclearpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudpart cloudclearclearpart cloudpart cloudrain showerspart cloudcloudclearclearclearpart cloudpart cloud
Rain (mm)
-----132---------1----------2-------
Temp. °C181715181816161513171815151614161514171714161615191917191916191916202018
Feels °C (?)151414161616171411131414131414141214131313151514171717181715181716192019

Short Range Forecast: Light rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 6-9 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Long Range Forecast: Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Outer Cut Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Outer Cut provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Outer Cut can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Outer Cut surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Outer Cut) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Outer Cut may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Outer Cut, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 3 km (2 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 65 km (40 miles) away

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