Prainha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s take a look at what’s happening at Prainha over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the next week and a half is pretty grim. There’s a real dry spell for any decent surf. The water's sitting at 68°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only nice thing I can say for a while. From now until around the 26th, it’s mostly tiny, weak swell with onshore or cross-onshore wind messing things up. The energy levels are low, mostly under 100 (like 75 on Tuesday the 15th), and you’re looking at little 0.7ft to 2ft waves that are just poor.

There’s a brief moment on the morning of Thursday the 17th where it goes glassy with a 2ft SE swell and a period of 10 seconds. It’s surfable but very ordinary. That afternoon the wind swings back onshore and it drops to 0.7ft. The 18th and 19th see some more size, up to 4ft, but it’s onshore wind and the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s just a messy, weak windswell.

The morning of Monday the 21st shows some hope with a clean 3ft wave from the east (period 8 seconds) and light offshore winds, but the energy is still only moderate at 110. A few mornings around the 22nd and 23rd have clean or glassy conditions but the swell is tiny, 2ft, and lacking punch.

The one true standout in this whole outlook lands on Sunday morning, September 27th. That’s a week and a half away, so take it with a pinch of salt, but it looks like the real deal. We’ve got a solid 6ft SE groundswell rolling in with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 494. The wind is forecast to be glassy – light airs from the NE. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. For a break like Prainha that’s exposed to the south and very consistent, this is the closest we get to a proper session. The only downside? It’s an advanced wave, so it’s for experienced surfers only, and it can get crowded there sometimes. The morning is the window; by the afternoon it’s cross-onshore and choppy again.

After that, the 28th has a clean 2ft to 2ft SE groundswell with a long 13-second period – glassy in the morning – but the size just isn’t there. The 30th throws up a 5ft windswell, but it’s onshore and rainy again, so that’s a miss.

So, in short: hang tough through a long, flat, and windy week. The real shot is that Sunday the 27th morning. Mark it, keep an eye on it, but don’t sell the farm on it this far out.

- Rusty

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