Prainha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, family, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this 16-day stretch is a real mixed bag. We’ve got a lot of small, jumbled swell and iffy wind, but there are a few windows where it all comes together, especially if you’re willing to wait for it.

The run starts off with a whimper. Over the next several days, we're looking at tiny waves – think waist-high at best – and mostly onshore or cross-shore wind. The swell direction is all over the place but really doesn't matter when it’s this small. Don’t get your hopes up for the first week; it’s going to be a grind, with a lot of blown-out, crumbly closeouts. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a small comfort at least, and the energy in the water is weak, mostly under 200 (178 to 275).

First real glimmer of hope comes early on the morning of Tuesday the 19th. The wind swings to a light offshore northwesterly, and that little east swell, though only 3ft, will be clean. It’s not going to be epic, but it will be surfable. We get another brief moment on Thursday morning the 21st with glassy conditions, but the swell just drops off. Then, on Friday the 21st, we get a proper offshore WSW breeze at 12 mph, but the swell is a weak 2ft with a short 7-second period. That’s pretty average, but it’s clean, so for the desperate, it’s something.

Okay, now let's talk about the first real standout. Sunday the 24th. The wind is light and offshore or cross-offshore, and we see a new, longer-period southeast swell arrive. We’re only looking at 2ft, but that period jumps to 16 seconds. That’s some proper groundswell energy, even if the height is small. The combined energy jumps to 274, which is much more promising. This will be clean, a bit more powerful than the size suggests, and much better shaped. This is a go-to for the longboard or a fun little twin fin.

The following week gets a bit messy. There’s a pulse of easterly swell on Tuesday the 25th, but it’s short-period, junky, and looks a mess. A lot of rain around too, so I wouldn’t rush out for that one. That Wednesday morning the 26th has a light offshore, but the swell is small.

But then we get the real prize. On Thursday morning, the 27th, it's glassy with a light offshore wind, and that SE swell is still in the water. It's not huge, just 3ft, but it'll be clean. Then, the morning of Friday the 28th is glassy again, but it’s that small stuff. The real gem comes on Friday afternoon the 28th. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the east, the wind goes glassy, and the combined energy leaps to 307. That is the standout of this whole period. It will be the biggest, cleanest surf we’ve seen in a fortnight. Feels like a reward for being patient.

After that, we get a bit of a fade-out. A strong south-southeast wind kicks in Saturday the 29th, chopping things up. The swell stays around 3-4ft but all quality is gone. Then it fades into small, weak surf for the end of the window.

So, there you have it. A whole lot of waiting around for two proper windows: Sunday the 24th and, most importantly, Friday afternoon the 28th. That’s your best bet. Everything else is a paddling workout. Keep your eyes on that forecast and be ready to move when the wind swings.

Alright, stay wet.

Rusty

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